075
WTPZ21 KNHC 021433
TCMEP1

HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062025
1500 UTC WED JUL 02 2025

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 109.0W AT 02/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  967 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
4 M SEAS....180NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.0N 109.0W AT 02/1500Z
AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 108.7W

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 19.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 15NE   5SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 20.6N 111.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 15NE  10SE  10SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.7N 113.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.7N 114.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 23.7N 116.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.0N 109.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KELLY