Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
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964
FOPZ11 KNHC 022038
PWSEP1

HURRICANE KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112025
2100 UTC TUE SEP 02 2025

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.9
NORTH...LONGITUDE 128.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85
KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

10N 130W       34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 130W       34 23  21(44)   3(47)   1(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)
15N 130W       50  2   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
15N 130W       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

10N 135W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)

15N 135W       34  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  44(51)  39(90)   2(92)   X(92)
15N 135W       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  14(15)  45(60)   1(61)   1(62)
15N 135W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  31(36)   1(37)   X(37)

20N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)

10N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)

15N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)  45(55)  10(65)
15N 140W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  21(22)   8(30)
15N 140W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   5(16)

20N 140W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   7(13)

15N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)
15N 145W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

20N 145W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)

$$
FORECASTER HAGEN