053
FOPZ11 KNHC 010259
PWSEP1

HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062025
0300 UTC TUE JUL 01 2025

AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   8(12)  11(23)   1(24)   X(24)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)   9(19)   1(20)   X(20)

LA PAZ         34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   6(10)   1(11)   X(11)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   4( 6)   7(13)   4(17)   4(21)   X(21)   X(21)

MAZATLAN       34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN BLAS       34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   2(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

P VALLARTA     34  1   3( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

15N 105W       34  4   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BARRA NAVIDAD  34  4   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

MANZANILLO     34 21   6(27)   2(29)   2(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

L CARDENAS     34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ZIHUATANEJO    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

15N 110W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

20N 110W       34  1   5( 6)  46(52)  31(83)   8(91)   X(91)   X(91)
20N 110W       50  X   X( X)   8( 8)  36(44)  12(56)   X(56)   X(56)
20N 110W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)  20(22)  10(32)   X(32)   X(32)

ISLA SOCORRO   34  X   5( 5)  21(26)  26(52)   6(58)   1(59)   X(59)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   5(14)   X(14)   X(14)
ISLA SOCORRO   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ISLA CLARION   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)

$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA