494
ABPZ20 KNHC 300505
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Sep 29 2024

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Offshore of Southwestern Mexico:
An area of low pressure is expected to gradually develop off the
coast of southwestern Mexico during the next day or so.
Environmental conditions are expected to be generally conducive for
additional development after that, and a tropical depression could
form by the middle or late portions of this week. The disturbance is
forecast to meander near or just offshore the coast for most of the
week, and then begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to
the coast of Mexico by next weekend. Regardless of development, this
system is expected to contribute to additional heavy rainfall across
portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico, and interests there
should monitor the progress of this disturbance.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

South of the Gulf of Tehuantepec:
Another area of low pressure is forecast to form south of the Gulf
of Tehuantepec during the next day or two. Gradual development of
the disturbance is possible after that, if the system remains
offshore the coast of southern Mexico. The disturbance is forecast
to move erratically through mid-week, and then potentially move
northward toward the coast later this week. Regardless of formation,
heavy rain is possible along most of the coast of southern Mexico
throughout this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

$$
Forecaster Hagen