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921
ABPZ20 KNHC 130503
TWOEP

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 PM PDT Sun Oct 12 2025

For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:

South of Southern Mexico:
A broad trough of low pressure located a couple hundred miles
south-southwest of Guatemala is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms.  Little development is expected during the next few
days while the system meanders well offshore.  Towards the end of
the work week, environmental conditions appear more conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form while the system
drifts northward then northwestward near or just offshore of the
coast of southern Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

$$
Forecaster Jelsema