Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Kansas City/Pleasant Hill, MO

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820
FNUS73 KEAX 121354
FWSEAX

Spot Forecast for Utz Prairie...MO State Parks
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
754 AM CST Tue Nov 12 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CST on November 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at 1-800-438-0596, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Marginally gusty southeast winds are expected throughout the day
today under clear skies. The gust should subside with sunset this
evening, though winds will remain near 10 knots through the
overnight. Rain will build into the region after 9 am on
Wednesday, leading to around a quarter of an inch of rainfall by
the end of the day Wednesday.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 15 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........1   5   9   18  19  23  33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............49  53  55  56  56  55  52
RH..............66  57  53  51  53  53  59
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  E   SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  10  12  12  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust.18  17  18  17  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   SE  E   E
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  16  17  16  15
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........50  48  56  56  57  59  62  60  61  66  68  71
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............50  49  48  47  47  46  47  46  45  45  45  45
RH..............66  68  74  76  76  79  74  76  79  79  79  79
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   10  12  12  12  12  10  12  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.18  20  21  22  21  21  20  20  18  18  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.15  16  17  18  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  14
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers in
                    the morning, then rain showers likely in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent increasing to 73 percent late in the
                    morning, then decreasing to 33 percent early in
                    the afternoon decreasing to 12 percent late in
                    the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 55.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 8 to 9 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 18 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........75  79  82  99  99  99  92  90  87  82  75  66
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  30  30  70  70  70  30  30  30  10  10  10
Temp............45  45  46  48  48  49  50  51  53  54  53  53
RH..............79  82  86  80  89  89  93  89  86  86  89  89
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  10  9   10  9   10  10  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.18  18  17  20  18  18  17  18  18  18  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.9 0.6
Transp wind dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
Transp wind spd.14  15  16  17  18  18  18  17  16  15  14  13
Haines index....4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Temeyer
Requested by...Lee Wilbeck
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426335.0/EAX
.DELDT 11/12/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lee.wilbeck@dnr.mo.gov