424
ACUS03 KWNS 101921
SWODY3
SPC AC 101920

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0220 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Valid 121200Z - 131200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The potential for severe thunderstorms appears negligible on Sunday
into Sunday night.

...Synopsis...
A surface cyclone near the coastal Carolinas should gradually fill
as it drifts north, offshore of the Lower Mid-Atlantic. While a
strong storm is possible around 12Z Sunday in the Outer Banks
vicinity, weakening low-level wind fields and a highly confined
surface-based warm sector preclude a level 1-MRGL risk highlight.

Elevated convection is largely anticipated in the central states
with minimal surface-based instability. Convection across the
northern portion may persist in multiple rounds through the period
within the low-level warm conveyor attendant to a vigorous shortwave
trough moving across the northern Great Plains into south-central
Canada. Elevated convection across the southern portion should await
until Sunday evening/night, as remnants of TC Priscilla approach.
The latter will also support isolated to scattered surface-based
thunderstorms, peaking in the afternoon across the Southwest. Across
all regimes, weak instability and/or buoyancy preclude severe
highlights for this cycle.

..Grams.. 10/10/2025

$$