806
ACUS03 KWNS 010736
SWODY3
SPC AC 010735

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0235 AM CDT Mon Jul 01 2024

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
MIDWEST/OHIO VALLEY AND CENTRAL PLAINS...

...SUMMARY...
Severe thunderstorms are expected on Wednesday, particularly across
parts of the Midwest/Ohio Valley and central Plains.

...Midwest/Ozarks/Ohio Valley...
Moderate to strong destabilization is expected within a moist air
mass preceding an east/southeastward-moving cold front, potentially
effectively augmented by early day convection and residual cloud
cover. As a shortwave trough transitions northeastward over the
Great Lakes toward Ontario, at least weak height falls and
moderately strong mid-level westerlies will generally influence
areas as far south as the Ohio River and parts of the Ozark Plateau.
Intensifying multicells/banded clusters seem probable into Wednesday
afternoon, with bouts of wind damage as the primary hazard through
the evening. This scenario currently appears most probable across
downstate portions of Illinois/Indiana into Ohio and northern
Kentucky.

...High Plains/Central Plains...
Height falls and a strengthening of cyclonically curved westerlies
are expected ahead (east-southeast) of an amplifying mid/upper-level
trough over the northern Rockies. At least isolated severe storms
capable of hail/strong wind gusts will be possible within a broad
north/south corridor from the western Dakotas and southeast
Montana/northeast Wyoming southward into eastern Colorado, northeast
New Mexico, and northwest Texas. A more focused area of potentially
severe storms, including possible evening-time MCS development,
would appear to be across western Nebraska/northeast Colorado into
western/northern Kansas.

..Guyer.. 07/01/2024

$$