469
ACUS03 KWNS 091913
SWODY3
SPC AC 091912

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0212 PM CDT Sun Mar 09 2025

Valid 111200Z - 121200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms are unlikely Tuesday.

...Synopsis...
Split mid-level flow will persist over the CONUS Tuesday, as
low-amplitude ridging moves eastward. A post-frontal air mass is
expected over the eastern half of the US, with surface high pressure
and offshore flow limiting inland moisture return and buoyancy.
Southerly low-level flow will increase across the southern Plains
late in the forecast period, as a shortwave trough moves over
northern Mexico. Weak northward transport of shallow Gulf moisture
is possible into south/coastal TX late. While isolated showers are
possible, the air mass will likely be too dry for thunderstorms. A
sporadic lightning flash from weak elevated convection beneath the
cold core of the advancing upper trough is possible over parts of
the Southwest. However, more than sporadic thunder potential appears
unlikely given the cool, dry, and stable conditions over much of the
US.

..Lyons.. 03/09/2025

$$