544
ACUS03 KWNS 071904
SWODY3
SPC AC 071903

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0103 PM CST Fri Feb 07 2025

Valid 091200Z - 101200Z

...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
The risk for thunderstorms appears negligible across the U.S.,
Sunday through Sunday night.

...Discussion...
Models indicate further amplification to the mid/upper flow across
the northern mid-latitudes of the eastern Pacific into western North
America, including the evolution of an increasingly prominent
mid-level high within building ridging, near the Gulf of Alaska.
Downstream, mid-level troughing may dig through British Columbia and
the Pacific Northwest, and, in lower latitudes, also progress
eastward toward Baja, but little change is forecast to the confluent
westerlies across the interior U.S. into offshore western Atlantic
through this period.  Broad mid/upper ridging, centered over the
subtropical latitudes of northern Mexico into the southwestern
Atlantic, is likely to maintain considerable influence as far north
as the central Great Plains through the southern Mid Atlantic.

The shallow southern periphery of a cold intrusion to the lee of the
Rockies is forecast to stall across the Gulf coastal plain,
undercutting a continuing anticyclonic return flow emanating from
the Gulf Basin.  It appears that associated low-level moisture will
continue to contribute to weak potential instability, both south of
and above the cold surface-based air.  However, forecast soundings
indicate that this will remain generally capped by warm, dry layers
aloft, beneath the mid/upper ridging.

..Kerr.. 02/07/2025

$$