824
ACUS02 KWNS 120550
SWODY2
SPC AC 120548

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1248 AM CDT Sun Oct 12 2025

Valid 131200Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
FAR WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHERN NEW MEXICO...

...SUMMARY...
Thunderstorms with marginally severe wind gusts and hail will be
possible on Monday across parts of far west Texas and southern New
Mexico.

...Far West Texas/Southern New Mexico...
A mid-level low will move southward adjacent to the immediate West
Coast on Monday, as southwesterly flow remains established from the
southwestern U.S. into the north-central states. At the surface, a
moist airmass with dewpoints from the mid 50s to near 60 F will be
in place from southern Arizona eastward into southern New Mexico and
far West Texas. As surface temperatures warm, an axis of instability
is forecast to develop from far west Texas northward into southern
New Mexico. Thunderstorms that develop near this axis of instability
may obtain a marginal severe threat during the mid to late
afternoon. Steep low-level lapse rates could support isolated severe
wind gusts. Hail could also occur within the stronger cores.

..Broyles.. 10/12/2025

$$