041
ACUS02 KWNS 020400
SWODY2
SPC AC 020358

Day 2 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1058 PM CDT Thu Oct 01 2026

Valid 031200Z - 041200Z

...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
No severe thunderstorms are expected across the U.S. on Saturday.

...Synopsis...
On Saturday, a broad upper trough will develop into Ontario, with a
leading speed max moving from the northern Plains across the Great
Lakes. Meanwhile, an upper high will be centered over the Great
Basin, with relatively high midlevel heights extending into the
Southeast.

At the surface, a high pressure center will move from MI into the
Northeast, with the surface ridge extending southwestward into the
southern High Plains. Northeasterly surface winds will thus relegate
the more robust moisture/dewpoints to the Gulf Coast states.

Isolated thunderstorms may develop during the day over the Upper
Midwest in association with the shortwave trough, as temperatures
aloft cool. Moisture and instability will be minimal, but weak
elevated instability should support at least isolated lightning
flashes.

Otherwise, scattered thunderstorms will affect much of the Gulf
Coast and extending into the Carolinas as the air mass will become
marginally unstable with heating. Weak shear will further preclude
severe possibilities.

..Jewell.. 10/02/2026

$$