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Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
377 ACUS02 KWNS 281720 SWODY2 SPC AC 281718 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1118 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Isolated thunderstorms cannot be ruled out over parts of northern Arizona. ...Synopsis... On Saturday, a deep and compact upper low will move across southern CA/northern Baja into AZ during the day, and into NM by Sunday morning. Strong cooling aloft with this system combined with daytime heating and upslope flow may yield afternoon/evening convection, likely weak as instability will remain minimal. However, the favorable ascent coupled with very steep lapse rates may support a few general thunderstorms. Elsewhere, a large upper trough will exist across the eastern CONUS, with high pressure spreading southeastward out of the upper MS Valley, maintaining stable conditions. ..Jewell.. 02/28/2025 $$