044
FNUS22 KWNS 171949
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0249 PM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025

Valid 181200Z - 191200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PARTS OF SOUTHERN/EASTERN NEW
MEXICO INTO FAR WEST TEXAS...

A slight eastward and northward expansion of Elevated fire weather
conditions was warranted across portions of the Texas Panhandle and
western Texas. Latest model guidance consensus delays/stalls the
cold front intrusion into the Texas Panhandle until Friday early
evening. This will act to prolong at least elevated fire weather
conditions across the Cap Rock area, including southwest winds of up
to 20 mph and relative humidity in falling into the lower teens by
mid-afternoon. Critical fire weather conditions are still expected
across much of southeast New Mexico and far west Texas as an
upper-level trough deepens across the Intermountain West.

...Florida...
Expect increased east winds Friday across the Florida Peninsula as
high pressure translates eastward into the Atlantic. Winds of 10-15
mph coupled with relative humidity in the 25-35 percent range amid
dry fuels will promote Elevated fire weather conditions for much of
central and southwest Florida.

..Williams/Moore.. 04/17/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1256 AM CDT Thu Apr 17 2025/

...Synopsis...
The upper trough will shift to the east with the stronger mid-level
winds within the southern/central Plains on Friday. Another surface
low, though weaker than Thursday, will develop along the New
Mexico/Texas border. A cold front will push farther south into parts
of the southern Plains. Fire weather concerns will remain across
parts of the Southwest and southern High Plains.

...New Mexico into West Texas...
Though mid-level flow will be weaker than the previous day, moderate
flow should remain across the region during the afternoon. Coupled
with the modest surface low, surface winds of 15-25 mph will be
possible. RH could fall around 10% for some locations, but will more
broadly be around 15-20%. Critical fire weather is most likely in
parts of southern and eastern New Mexico and the Trans-Pecos. There
is greater confidence in critically low RH as well as fuels being
more receptive here.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$