314
FNUS22 KWNS 222000
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0200 PM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Valid 231200Z - 241200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA...

The Critical highlights were extended westward to the Malibu Coast
and to the coast in Orange County. For both areas, high-resolution
guidance depicts 20+ mph sustained east-northeasterly surface winds
(with higher gusts) amid single-digit to lower teens RH --
especially during the morning into afternoon hours. As mentioned in
the previous discussion below, localized extremely critical
conditions are possible over terrain-favored areas, though these
conditions still appear too localized for an upgrade to Extremely
Critical at this time.

..Weinman.. 01/22/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0157 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025/

...Synopsis...
Conditions favorable for rapid wildfire spread will continue into
tomorrow (Thursday) along coastal portions of southern California,
particularly in terrain-favoring areas. Model guidance consensus
suggests that the surface pressure gradient will be strongest
shortly after 12Z Thursday morning. During the morning, offshore
sustained winds should exceed 20 mph on a widespread basis.
Furthermore, some high-resolution guidance suggests that brief
instances of sustained winds well over 50 mph (with higher gusts
approaching 70 mph) may occur over the higher terrain of the San
Gabriel to Laguna Mountain ranges. These very strong winds amid 10
percent RH will support high-end Critical conditions, with at least
locally Extremely Critical conditions likely in spots.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$