


Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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540 WUUS01 KWNS 211253 PTSDY1 DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0751 AM CDT THU AUG 21 2025 VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... TORNADO ... 0.02 46999660 47819609 47879533 47369477 45959557 45129623 45239698 46069702 46999660 && ... HAIL ... 0.05 48839029 45819348 44429501 43519643 43209857 43269995 43340099 43710132 44250121 44830058 45379967 46259890 47669881 49599978 0.05 45200731 45090511 44200396 42980341 42210408 42610543 43660610 45010767 45200731 && ... WIND ... 0.05 48839029 45819348 44449500 43519642 43199863 43270005 43340100 43700132 44240121 44800063 45359969 46259890 47659881 49569977 0.05 44570696 45140677 45080512 44210394 43300336 42720329 42210406 42610542 43650609 44570696 0.05 33141254 33721239 33891184 33251080 32441057 32171089 32311177 33141254 && CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1 ... CATEGORICAL ... MRGL 33721239 33891184 33251080 32441057 32171089 32311177 33141254 33721239 MRGL 45200731 45090511 44210394 43300336 42720329 42210406 42610543 43660610 45010767 45200731 MRGL 48639050 44429501 43519642 43199863 43340100 43700132 44250121 44800063 45379968 46259890 47659881 49489973 TSTM 47738430 47088578 46528877 45319085 42609403 41889598 41709777 41639959 40700140 39860318 38540423 37580447 36270381 34830404 33000526 31860712 31450830 30750904 99999999 30130575 30880503 31540394 32680264 33400207 34480130 34890090 34870013 34609955 34359845 34449799 35009743 35309639 35429538 34839407 33499274 32729027 33438736 35628499 37608216 38848154 39048006 37817882 35827929 34628000 33867949 34147820 35157728 36687648 37707607 38817517 40307430 40547276 40187179 99999999 31951486 33031457 34191447 35271485 36871426 38101505 39161557 40091573 40871438 41701282 43081178 44161108 45221093 46141077 47170974 48120755 48960492 49510394 49930284 && THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 NW PHX 35 NNE PHX 70 E PHX 30 NE TUS TUS 50 WNW TUS 15 NNE GBN 30 NW PHX. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 NNW SHR 25 SSE 4BQ 45 WNW RAP 35 NNW CDR 10 SW CDR 10 NNE TOR 10 SSW DGW 55 SSW GCC 40 WNW SHR 35 NNW SHR. THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 60 N GNA 10 SSE RWF 15 ESE FSD 50 N ONL 40 NNW VTN 30 SSE PHP 25 NE PHP 35 NNW PIR 40 ESE MBG 50 SSW JMS 35 S DVL 100 NNW DVL. GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 85 N ANJ 80 WNW ANJ 45 SSW CMX 45 NE EAU 10 ENE FOD 10 NE TQE 25 SW OFK 15 N BBW 15 NE IML 20 S AKO 25 NE PUB 25 NNW TAD 40 WSW CAO 35 SW TCC 35 SSE SRR 45 W ELP 65 SSW DMN 60 SE DUG ...CONT... 105 W MRF 65 SSW GDP 45 WSW INK 35 E HOB 25 SW LBB 30 NE PVW 45 NW CDS 30 NNE CDS 15 WSW LTS 20 S FSI 25 ESE FSI 30 SSE OKC 40 SE CQB 15 S MKO 35 ESE RKR 20 NNE ELD 55 SSW GWO 20 NE TCL 25 SSE CSV 55 WNW BLF 35 N CRW 15 NW EKN 30 SW CHO 30 W RDU 35 NNW FLO 25 SSE FLO 20 WSW ILM 15 WNW EWN 20 SW ORF 35 WSW WAL 25 SE DOV 20 N NEL 25 SE ISP 70 S BID ...CONT... 50 SSW YUM 25 N YUM 40 SSE EED 35 NNW EED 40 WSW SGU 45 NW P38 35 SE P68 40 NNE P68 20 WNW ENV 40 SW MLD 35 SSE IDA 35 S WEY 40 NNE WEY 30 NE BZN 15 WNW LWT 45 W GGW 65 NNE OLF 95 N ISN 125 NNE ISN.