Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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713
WUUS01 KWNS 111614
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1112 AM CDT MON AUG 11 2025

VALID TIME 111630Z - 121200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   39149535 40349418 40569364 40519271 40119217 39529205
       38249309 38119456 38239515 38569548 39149535
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   36110567 36960489 36970408 36710355 36340305 36060228
       36250088 36589876 36999718 36989572 36449548 35549599
       34759753 33739950 33090104 32830273 33010467 33370551
       34080604 34810605 35480599 36110567
0.05   48729168 47769248 46719366 46139468 45759589 45639674
       45699759 45939851 46279904 46859973 47640027 48330061
       49360085
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   36520510 36670453 36650390 36260332 36070228 36240088
       36609874 37009688 37169527 37009463 36309460 35329592
       33509916 32990036 32830276 33020468 33380552 34070605
       34930604 35490598 36120565 36520510
0.05   48729168 47749249 46719367 46149466 45759589 45649674
       45699759 45929850 46279903 46859973 47650028 48340061
       49360085
0.05   38549548 39169536 40359417 40569364 40519269 40109217
       39539208 38249309 38119456 38249517 38549548
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

MRGL   32830275 33020468 33380552 34080604 34820605 35500598
       36120565 36960489 36960408 36720356 36340305 36070228
       36240086 36609873 37009688 37169528 37009463 36309459
       35329592 33509917 32990036 32830275
MRGL   48729168 47749250 46719367 46149467 45759589 45649674
       45699760 45929850 46279903 46859972 47640028 48330061
       49360085
MRGL   38239309 38119457 38239517 38559549 39169536 40369417
       40569365 40519271 40119218 39549207 38239309
TSTM   31341294 31561285 32601241 33021208 33411207 33871226
       34271239 34691239 34981235 35301221 35481189 35551156
       35521089 35451038 35220969 34910920 34590860 34530818
       34630766 35000727 35570699 36430672 37550657 38600661
       39040637 39220611 39570559 39800503 40000367 40300243
       40830181 41730128 42550009 42909944 43169933 43379922
       43729932 44419990 45370185 49680645 99999999 48858859
       46918938 45939034 44789230 44169361 42989551 42579573
       42349561 42279518 42429438 42899291 43569105 45128792
       45908730 47898605 99999999 42958110 39848243 39298412
       38478792 36219152 34949328 34609364 34239386 33929372
       33659312 33379220 33129138 33009059 32968992 32918950
       33098873 36448484 39098054 39457990 39497899 39447855
       38867729 37497484 99999999 27380006 28649832 30299706
       30929678 31559659 31799653 31989653 32099656 32229659
       32229665 32149693 31879759 31559812 31249892 31009971
       30290153 28960418

&&
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 ENE
HOB 20 SSW ROW SRR 20 W 4CR 35 ESE ABQ 10 SE SAF 45 NE SAF 25 NW RTN
25 SSE TAD 30 NW CAO 10 SE CAO 15 ENE DHT 45 SE GUY 10 SSW AVK 25
NNE PNC 35 SSE CNU 10 SW JLN 25 SSE GMJ 30 NNW MLC 50 SW SPS 55 NW
ABI 30 ENE HOB.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 N
ELO 30 NNE HIB 30 NE BRD 30 SW BRD 25 WSW AXN 25 NW VVV 45 ENE ABR
35 N ABR 50 SSW JMS 50 E BIS 55 E N60 30 E MOT 80 NNE MOT.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SE
SZL 50 S OJC 40 NNE CNU 35 S TOP 15 ENE TOP 20 SW LWD 15 ESE LWD 30
NNW IRK 20 E IRK 45 SSE IRK 40 SE SZL.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 110 S GBN 95 S GBN 30
SE GBN 30 S PHX PHX 35 NNW PHX 25 S PRC PRC 25 N PRC 35 WNW FLG 25
NNW FLG 30 NNE FLG 35 NNW INW 35 NNE INW 55 WSW GUP 50 SSW GUP 55 SW
GNT 45 SSW GNT 40 SSE GNT 35 ESE GNT 30 S 4SL 30 NNE 4SL 40 WNW ALS
20 ENE GUC 30 ESE ASE 40 E ASE 40 WSW DEN 10 WNW DEN 25 WSW AKO 45
ENE AKO 25 NNW IML 25 SSW MHN ANW 35 NE ANW 40 S 9V9 30 S 9V9 9V9 20
E PIR 40 SSE Y22 100 N GGW ...CONT... 110 NE GNA 45 NE IWD 45 SSW
IWD 40 W EAU 15 ESE MKT 25 SW SPW 25 W SLB 25 SW SLB 20 NNE DNS 15
SW FOD 30 SE MCW 25 SSE LSE 45 NNE GRB 15 NW ESC 120 NE MQT
...CONT... 75 NW ERI 25 ESE CMH 20 NE LUK 35 NW EVV 35 W ARG 25 SSW
RUE 30 WNW HOT 35 ENE DEQ 35 NNE TXK 35 NNW ELD 30 SW LLQ 35 SW GLH
40 SE GLH 40 SSE GWO 55 SE GWO 40 SSW CBM 35 NNE CSV 40 WNW EKN 15 S
MGW 50 ESE MGW 30 W MRB 15 W DCA 45 SE WAL ...CONT... 40 WSW LRD 45
WNW NIR 40 E AUS 35 NW CLL 35 SSW CRS 20 SSW CRS 10 WSW CRS 10 WNW
CRS 15 NW CRS 20 NW CRS 30 WNW CRS 30 NW ACT 45 S SEP 40 S BWD 35 N
JCT 45 ENE 6R6 100 S MRF.