Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
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101
FNUS21 KWNS 171605
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1005 AM CST Sun Nov 17 2024

Valid 171700Z - 181200Z

The Elevated risk area has been expanded northeastward to encompass
more of the New England region. This change was driven by morning
surface observations, which are reporting relative humidity values
between 20-25% - lower than anticipated by most model solutions.
Given recent fire starts over the past 24 hours, fuels remain
supportive across the region for at least a low-grade fire concern.
Wind gusts up to 15 mph remain possible through early afternoon, but
should still be less frequent and widespread compared to yesterday.

..Moore.. 11/17/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1135 PM CST Sat Nov 16 2024/

...Synopsis...
With the upper-level trough and stronger mid-level flow departing to
the east, surface winds are expected to weaken from previous days
across the Northeast. Stronger wind gusts are also likely to be much
less widespread as well. Even so, very dry conditions with very dry
fuels will support a low-end elevated threat for parts of southern
New England into the northern Mid-Atlantic this afternoon. Winds of
10-15 mph are possible, though these are most likely to occur
earlier in the day mostly offset from the lowest RH. RH itself will
fall to 25-35%, with local values near 20%.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$