705
FNUS21 KWNS 271445
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0944 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025

Valid 271700Z - 281200Z

No changes to the ongoing forecast. See the previous forecast below
for additional details.

..Wendt.. 03/27/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0200 AM CDT Thu Mar 27 2025/

...Synopsis...
A broad upper ridge will continue to move eastward over the central
US as troughing intensifies over the West Coast. A weak trough will
slide under the ridge supporting scattered storms over the Southwest
and South TX. Strong westerly flow will support the development of a
lee low, favoring gusty downslope winds over parts of the Plains.

...Southwest and southern Plains...
A weak upper trough will continue to move eastward over the
Southwest underneath the broader ridge over the central US. Moisture
will continue to gradually move west into the higher terrain of the
southern High Plains. Scattered thunderstorms are likely through the
afternoon. With low PWAT values (0.5-0.8 inches) these storms are
likely to be high-based with minimal wetting rainfall. This will
likely support dry lightning strikes within receptive fuels. Dry
thunderstorm probabilities have been maintained across parts of NM.

To the east across parts of OK and KS, southerly 20-25 mph winds are
likely for much of the afternoon. Warm temperatures and drier
conditions ahead of the deeper moisture return will favor RH
minimums of 20-25% by mid-afternoon. Isolated thunderstorms are
possible by early evening, but a few hours of elevated fire weather
conditions appear probable given receptive fuels and ongoing fire
activity.

...Great Basin and central Rockies...
A broad western US trough and enhanced mid-level flow will gradually
overspread the Great basin and central Rockies this afternoon.
Westerly surface winds between 20-25 mph are expected across a large
swath of the northern Great Basin and into central/eastern WY. Dry
conditions currently in place across NV will spread northeast with
RH reductions into the teens to low 20s. Although widespread
elevated fire weather conditions are expected, latest fuel guidance
suggests only portions of WY are of sufficient dryness to support
fire-weather concerns. An Elevated area has been added to cover the
risk of dry and windy downslope conditions.

...South FL...
A few hours of lower RH and occasional gusty winds are possible
across parts of the Southeast and into central and southern FL this
afternoon. While winds are not expected to be overly strong, a few
gusts may reach upwards of 15 mph through the day. Relatively warm
and dry post-frontal conditions will overlap with areas of little
recent rainfall and recent fire activity. This could support locally
elevated fire-weather conditions.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$