124
FNUS21 KWNS 281650
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1050 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025

Valid 281700Z - 011200Z

...17z Update...
A dry cold frontal passage and strong surface cyclogenesis should
support several hours of elevated to near-critical fire-weather
conditions over parts of the Plains and Midwest this afternoon.
Morning observations show strong northwesterly winds of 20-25 mph
overspreading the central Plains. As temperatures warm this
afternoon RH values should fall below 35%. Despite marginal RH,
strong surface winds will continue this afternoon and compensate to
support the potential for rapid wildfire spread over portions of the
Plains states into the Midwest, where some wildfire activity has
already been observed. The Elevated area was expanded over parts of
NE and KS where winds are expected to be stronger. See the prior
outlook.

..Lyons.. 02/28/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0135 AM CST Fri Feb 28 2025/

...Synopsis...
A mid-level trough will amplify across the eastern half of the CONUS
today, encouraging the rapid eastward translation of a broad surface
low over the Great Lakes. A large area of strong isallobaric surface
flow is expected across the Plains states into portions of the
Midwest. By afternoon, sustained westerly surface winds in the 20-30
mph range will overspread much of South Dakota into Nebraska, Iowa,
and northern Missouri. Meanwhile, a belt of 15-20 mph sustained
southwesterly surface winds are likely across the Texas Panhandle
toward eastern Missouri/western Illinois. RH will dip to 20-30
percent across the Southern Plains, with only 30-40 percent RH dips
likely across South Dakota into the Midwest. Despite marginal RH,
strong surface winds will compensate to support the potential for
rapid wildfire spread over portions of the Plains states into the
Midwest, where some wildfire activity has already been observed in
lieu of stronger surface winds.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$