956
FNUS21 KWNS 071642
FWDDY1

Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1041 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025

Valid 071700Z - 081200Z

...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER AREA FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND EASTERN
NEW MEXICO INTO THE WESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...

The previous forecast (see below) remains on track, with adjustments
made to the existing fire weather highlights to reflect the latest
model guidance consensus.

..Squitieri.. 02/07/2025

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1218 AM CST Fri Feb 07 2025/

...Synopsis...
West to southwesterly surface flow should quickly increase
throughout the day Friday across NM, with sustained speeds exceeding
25 mph for some locations. A lee surface trough is expected to
deepen as a mid-level shortwave trough enters the Intermountain
West, and strengthening orthogonal mid-level flow persists across
the Rockies. The resulting surface pressure gradient, and a deeply
mixed boundary layer (little to no cloud cover expected), will
support these breezy conditions. In addition, unseasonably warm
temperatures and single-digit relative humidity combined with the
aforementioned winds should result in several hours of critical fire
weather conditions.

A low-level thermal ridge will likely extend from the Upper
Trans-Pecos northeastward through the TX Panhandle by Friday
afternoon. Just west of this ridge, from the far western TX
Panhandle into portions of central and northeastern NM, is where the
strongest winds and lowest RH are anticipated. Due to a lack of
appreciable rainfall over several days, fuels across this region are
becoming increasingly receptive to fire. This appears especially
true within the higher terrain of NM and TX. As a result, the
Critical area was extended southward to include the Sacramento
Mountains.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$