961
FNUS73 KDVN 261129
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Nahant S130...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
629 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on September 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Warm conditions will be seen through Monday followed by
cooler conditions. Rain chances over the next seven days
are not looking good which will likely result in
worsening drought conditions.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........35 percent.
Max apparent temp...80.
Eye level winds.....Light winds becoming east up to 4 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming east 5 to 7 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 9 mph.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2   2   2   1   0   0   0   0   0   8   4
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............56  58  61  68  74  76  78  79  80  80  79
RH..............85  81  78  63  48  43  39  38  36  35  36
Aparnt tmp (F)..56  58  61  68  74  76  78  79  80  80  79
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.        6   7   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Eye lvl wnd spd.1   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.        4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.3 0.4 1.1 3.3 5.2 5.7 5.9 6.0 5.8 5.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   9
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Max apparent temp...76.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 5 mph.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 13 mph.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........7      4      0      10     47     62
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............76     66     61     59     56     55
RH..............43     63     75     78     86     86
Aparnt tmp (F)..76     66     61     59     56     55
20 ft wind......E 6    E 5    E 6    NE 5   NE 6   NE 7
20 ft wind gust.9      7      9      7      9      10
Eye level wind..E 4    E 3    E 4    NE 3   NE 4   NE 4
Eye lvl wnd gst.5      4      5      4      5      6
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   400    400    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 9    E 9    E 12   E 12   NE 12  NE 13
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Max apparent temp...78.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds up to 8 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    late in the morning.
Wind shift..........None.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    late in the morning.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 14 to 23 mph increasing to 25 to 28
                    mph late in the morning.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........56     43     53     48     56     61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     60     68     75     77     78
RH..............90     84     65     49     44     43
Aparnt tmp (F)..54     60     68     75     77     78
20 ft wind......NE 9   NE 7   NE 10  NE 13  NE 14  NE 14
20 ft wind gust.14     14     18     22     24     25
Eye level wind..NE 5   NE 4   NE 6   NE 8   NE 8   NE 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.8      8      11     13     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....400    700    1700   3200   3900   4000
Transport wind..NE 14  NE 17  NE 23  NE 26  NE 28  NE 28
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5

$$
Forecaster...Ervin
Requested by...Dale Maxson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423073.0/DVN
.DELDT 09/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0