495
FNUS73 KDVN 221209
FWSDVN

Spot Forecast for Dixon Waterfowl Refuge - Sandy Hollow...The Wetlands Initiative
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
609 AM CST Wed Jan 22 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CST on January 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the
National Weather Service Quad Cities at (563) 386-3815.

.DISCUSSION...

Southwest winds are expected at noon today, with winds around 15
mph, gusting to around 25 mph at the surface. These winds are
expected to slowly wane through the afternoon hours, with only a
small chance (20-30 percent) of light snow this afternoon. There
will be higher chances (40-60 percent) of light snow late this
afternoon into the early evening hours.

Thursday will see dry conditions, with northwest winds around 10
to 15 mph, gusting to around 20 mph.

The Grassland Fire Danger Index -GFDI- does not account for
precipitation that occurs or any snow on the ground. Please
make appropriate adjustments.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of snow
                    early in the afternoon, then chance of snow
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 27.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Min apparent temp...8.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 16 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 24 to 26 mph decreasing to around 15
                    mph late in the afternoon.
GFDI................7.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  90  89  88  94  94
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  30  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............22  24  26  27  27  26
RH..............43  41  42  42  44  50
Aparnt tmp (F)..8   11  14  16  16  16
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..16  16  15  14  13  10
20 FT wind gust.25  25  24  23  21  18
Eye lvl wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
Eye lvl wnd spd.10  10  9   8   8   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  14  14  13  11
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.26  26  26  25  24  15
GFDI............8   9   8   7   6   4
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow likely in
                    the evening, then scattered flurries overnight.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 14.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Min apparent temp...5.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds up to 6 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 10 to 12 mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 15 mph shifting to the northwest
                    16 to 20 mph after 3 am.
GFDI................2.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........95     97     97     94     81     66
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE SCTTRD
Weather type....SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50     60     50     40     30     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............25     24     23     22     21     19
RH..............55     65     77     84     92     80
Aparnt tmp (F)..15     15     15     15     12     7
20 ft wind......S 10   SW 8   SW 7   SW 6   W 7    NW 10
20 ft wind gust.16     16     14     12     14     20
Eye level wind..S 6    SW 5   SW 4   SW 4   W 4    NW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.10     10     8      7      8      12
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1000   900    600    800    1100
Transport wind..SW 15  SW 14  SW 10  W 8    NW 12  NW 16
GFDI............3      3      2      1      1      3
Haines index....3      3      3      2      2      2

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 21.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Min apparent temp...-1.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Wind shift..........
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 21 mph.
GFDI................4.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........58     53     41     34     24     17
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............16     14     15     18     19     18
RH..............77     73     67     59     54     53
Aparnt tmp (F)..2      -1     0      5      7      6
20 ft wind......NW 13  NW 14  NW 14  NW 13  NW 12  NW 10
20 ft wind gust.22     22     21     18     17     16
Eye level wind..NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 8   NW 7   NW 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.13     13     13     11     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)....1700   2000   2600   2900   3200   2500
Transport wind..NW 20  NW 21  NW 20  NW 18  NW 18  NW 16
GFDI............3      4      4      4      4      3
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Schultz
Requested by...Peter Goodspeed
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2501046.0/DVN
.DELDT 01/22/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0