501
FXUS63 KDVN 061036
AFDDVN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
536 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Below normal temperatures with frost and freezing overnight
  lows are expected to continue through at least Tuesday. Some
  sprinkles and even flurries are possible Monday.

- Rain chances return later in the period with some possible
  snow mixed in as well midweek. Rainfall and potential snowfall
  look light and thus not expected to be that impactful.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Issued at 309 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

High pressure that built into the area yesterday bringing drier
and cooler air to the area, will be squeezed between the stalled
front south of us and another vort max moving south towards the
area tonight. Overall, we see ourselves in weak flow today with
clouds moving south of the area that may stall just south of us,
before the next cold front and wave approach our area from the
north. Overall, less windy and more sun today than yesterday
with temperatures not all that different. With a lighter wind
and April sun, it may feel somewhat decent out before we get
into the unseasonal cold to start next week.

Tonight clouds will increase from the north as a wave moves
closer to us. Ensemble means still suggest a slight variance in
track of this wave. The ENS brought better ascent into our area.
However, dry air will be a force to reckon with for precip
tonight. Did keep the schc to chc pops across our north for
later tonight. Think sprinkles/flurries are more likely into
tomorrow morning. That said, nothing that should be impactful.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Issued at 309 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Cold air surges into the area Monday as a cold front moves
through the area. H85 temps of below zero and near -8 to -12C
will last through Wednesday morning. Temperatures Monday night
will be below freezing area wide. If you have any early flowers
blooming, you will want to cover them. While the main growing
season has not started, I have noticed some spring flowers
blooming along with some bushes. Highs Monday will hover in the
40s area wide. Lows Tuesday morning remain on track to be well
into the 20s areawide.

Midweek, a series of weak waves are expected to move through the
area. While we expect to be above freezing, some ensemble
guidance has snow for parts of our eastern CWA. The spread in
the guidance is large, so confidence is low. That said, some run
of an ensemble system has us seeing a few inches of snow. I
doubt that especially with the warmer grounds and increased sun
angle. What I think this translates to is another chance for
light snow/flurries especially Tuesday night into Wednesday AM.
Otherwise, additional chances for precipitation with moderating
temperatures through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 535 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the period. A cold front
will move through CID and DBQ late in the period shifting winds
and leading to gusty conditions near 12z Monday.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...None.
IL...None.
MO...None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gibbs
LONG TERM...Gibbs
AVIATION...Gibbs