662
FNUS53 KDTX 051954
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
354 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.DISCUSSION...High pressure continues to promote clear skies today
with minimum RH values between 35 to 45 percent. A cold front will
then pass through tomorrow morning which will bring breezy
conditions with sustained winds of 15 to 20 mph, gusting around 30
mph. Minimum RH drops further to around 30 percent, bringing higher
than normal fire weather concerns.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-060815-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
354 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....56-61.
   24 hr trend......19 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........73-83 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming around 15 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest around 25
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (37).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-41 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming around 20 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5770-6270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 20 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1740).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Min temperature.....44-48.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........78-88 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......790-990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (49).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5190-5690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (883).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-060815-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
354 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    after 5 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....52-58.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south around 20
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........31-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 15 to 20 mph becoming west early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6220-6720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 25 to 30 mph becoming around 30 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1860).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (45).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5080-5580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (966).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-060815-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
354 PM EDT Sat Oct 5 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........74-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 20
                    percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........29-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming around 20 mph early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5980-6480 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph increasing to around 30 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1732).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......15 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........79-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......660-860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (764).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 50. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

AM