321
FNUS53 KDTX 010703
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
303 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...Morning low clouds and fog give way to developing
showers this afternoon. Cooler temperatures ensue Wednesday with
drier conditions and lower minimum RH values below 50 percent as
high pressure builds in.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
303 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers after 8 am until
                    5 pm. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm
                    until 5 pm, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    north early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming north early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (667).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......17 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4670-5170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming southwest in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (657).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
303 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers after 8 am until
                    1400, then slight chance of thunderstorms until
                    5 pm. Rain showers after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 percent.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........69-77 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3040-3540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming west around 15
                    mph in the late morning and early afternoon,
                    then becoming north early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (446).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......31 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4010-4510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming southwest
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (436).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
303 AM EDT Tue Oct 1 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers after 8 am until
                    1400, then showers and slight chance of
                    thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 90
                    percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........63-73 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west 5 to 10 mph until
                    late afternoon, then becoming northwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3620-4120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest around
                    20 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (436).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.WEDNESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......30 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4340-4840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming southwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (281).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 70s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s.

$$

SF