Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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101
FNUS53 KDTX 190743
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
343 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions with above normal temperatures, moderate
humidity, and light wind continue today into Friday. Scattered light
showers will then be possible Friday afternoon into Friday night
ahead of a cold front. Dry and warm conditions are likely to start
this weekend with the next potential round of rain moving in Sunday
afternoon.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-192115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
343 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5010-5510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (306).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers after 2 pm. Chance
                    of thunderstorms after 5 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....78-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3880-4380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (390).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-192115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
343 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....76-82.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........43-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4780-5280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (260).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....78-82.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3540-4040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (299).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-192115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
343 AM EDT Thu Sep 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph until
                    late afternoon, then becoming southeast early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4960-5460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (283).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....56-60.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....82-86.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........42-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4180-4680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (343).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southeast winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 60. Highs in
the lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

$$

TF