907
FNUS53 KDTX 300709
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
309 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024

.DISCUSSION...Relatively moist easterly flow will persist today
between high pressure north and east of the Great Lakes and
dissipating low pressure over Kentucky and lead to minimum RH values
of 60 percent or more for many locations. A cold front is then
forecast to cross the region on Tuesday, bringing a chance of
showers and a few thunderstorms. Cooler temperatures will then ensue
on Wednesday with drier conditions bringing minimum RH values below
50 percent through the midweek period.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-302115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
309 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Max temperature.....74-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........51-61 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3360-3860 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (302).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south up to 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Rain showers likely after
                    2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest around 5 mph becoming northwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    northwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (528).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-302115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
309 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 pm, then
                    partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....70-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........58-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2860-3360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (264).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm.
Min temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast around 5 mph becoming south up to 5
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Patchy fog until
                    11 am. Chance of showers until 2 pm, then
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 80
                    percent.
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest early
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2890-3390 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon, then becoming northwest early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (576).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-302115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
309 AM EDT Mon Sep 30 2024

.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....72-76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........60-70 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2940-3440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (353).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Patchy fog after
                    11 pm until 2 am, then areas of fog.
Min temperature.....60-66.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast up to 5 mph until early morning
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Areas of fog
                    until 11 am. Rain showers likely after 2 pm.
                    Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming northwest early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2960-3460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest around
                    15 mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (465).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
70s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

DG