484
FNUS53 KDTX 162002
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
402 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...High pressure drifts overhead today sustaining dry and
seasonable conditions. A warming trend brings temps into the mid to
upper 60s on Friday and well into the 70s on Saturday. Scattered
showers mainly in the north on Friday, then widespread rain
becomes likely late Saturday into Sunday as a strong low pressure
system tracks through the Great Lakes.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-171415-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
402 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy frost
                    until 11 am.
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........35-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North around 5 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2680-3180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (119).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....42-48.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (11).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........41-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......1990-2490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (354).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........65-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (40).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-171415-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
402 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3380-3880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (255).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....38-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers likely
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2070-2570 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (350).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........65-75 percent.
   24 hr trend......33 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (25).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-171415-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
402 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....62-66.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........34-44 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3770-4270 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (277).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph early in the evening becoming
                    light, then becoming south around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Mixing height.......680-880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-68.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........32-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......2280-2780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (301).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....48-54.
   24 hr trend......13 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........70-80 percent.
   24 hr trend......24 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Showers and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Cooler. Partly cloudy. Showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows around 40. Highs
in the upper 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the mid 50s.

$$

CB