273
FNUS53 KDTX 132057
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
357 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

...This is the final Fire Weather Planning forecast for the 2024 season...

.DISCUSSION...Rain moves into southeast Michigan late tonight and
continues Thursday as Plains low pressure moves eastward near the
Michigan border through the afternoon. Gusty SE wind is the weather
highlight prior to rain arrival as peak gusts settle down from the
20-30 mph range. Minimum RH trended upward due to the influx of
moisture from the low pressure system while temperatures hover near
average with highs in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-141000-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
357 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1 am, then showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (34).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    1600, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (264).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....50-54.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2380-2880 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (246).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-141000-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
357 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    after 1 am. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....39-44.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (35).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers. Chance
                    of precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1180-1680 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (435).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....40-44.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 1 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Max temperature.....49-54.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........76-84 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2350-2850 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph increasing to around 15 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (301).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-141000-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
357 PM EST Wed Nov 13 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 1 am, then showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 80 percent.
Min temperature.....38-44.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (29).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Rain showers until
                    1600, then showers likely. Chance of
                    precipitation 100 percent.
Max temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph diminishing to around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1210-1710 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 15 to 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (337).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....40-46.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......940-1140 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming north in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........72-82 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1740-2240 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (267).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the mid 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs around 50.

$$

This is the final Fire Weather Planning forecast for the 2024 season.
The planning forecast will return in Spring 2025.

BT