Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
015 FXXX01 KWNP 092201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Oct 09 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: Solar activity has been at high levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a X1 event observed at 09/0156Z from Region 3848 (N12W25). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on days one and two (10 Oct, 11 Oct) and likely to be moderate with a chance for X-class flares on day three (12 Oct). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 08/2100Z to 09/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 637 km/s at 09/0820Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 08/2223Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 08/2238Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1072 pfu at 09/2100Z. Protons greater than 100 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 3 pfu at 09/0805Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 363 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to severe storm levels on day one (10 Oct), minor storm to severe storm levels on day two (11 Oct) and active to minor storm levels on day three (12 Oct). Protons are expected to cross threshold on day one (10 Oct), have a chance of crossing threshold on day two (11 Oct) and have a chance of crossing threshold on day three (12 Oct).