241
FNUS73 KDMX 061410
FWSDMX

Spot Forecast for NE ENTRY COMPLEX...USFWS
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
910 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on April 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Although minimum relative humidity values fall from just below
60% this morning to below 30% by this afternoon, sustained winds
remain on the lighter side, generally near to under 10 mph. Wind
direction will shift from out of the northwest this morning to out
of the west by around midday. High temperatures today will be
warmer and in the mid 50s with ample sunshine.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 56.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the west 6 to 13
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (15400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (57700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................2.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........5   2   1   1   1   3   12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............43  47  50  52  54  56  56
RH..............41  35  30  29  29  28  28
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   6   7   8   8
20 FT wind gust.    6               13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...3.1 3.8 4.3 4.8 5.1 5.2 5.2
Transp wind dir.N   NW  W   NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   10  12  12  13
GFDI............1   1   2   2   3   3   3
Smoke Dispersal.16  19  26  44  51  52  58
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  FR  FR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    7 to 10 mph in the late evening and overnight,
                    then shifting to the northwest around 10 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 17 mph shifting to the north around
                    15 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (62100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3700 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................2.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........17  18  26  21  22  15  9   6   5   10  11  18
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............55  53  49  47  44  42  41  40  39  38  37  36
RH..............30  34  38  44  48  53  55  56  57  58  64  67
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..8   7   6   6   7   7   8   8   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.12  10  8   9   10  12  13  15  17  17  18  18
Mix hgt (kft)...5.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N
Transp wind spd.14  9   8   10  12  13  14  14  17  17  16  15
GFDI............3   2   2   1   2   1   2   2   2   2   2   2
Smoke Dispersal.62  5   4   5   4   4   5   5   7   8   8   9
Smoke Cat.......GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 12 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 16 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9900 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (83100 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  16  17  7   4   4   4   4   4   5   6   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............35  34  34  36  37  39  41  42  43  44  45  44
RH..............74  74  66  59  53  46  41  36  34  33  32  31
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  13  15  16  17  17  16  16  15  15  14  14
20 FT wind gust.21  23  23  23  24  23  23  22  21  21  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 2.0 2.6 3.3 3.6 4.1 4.5 4.8 5.0 5.2 4.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.16  17  22  22  23  21  20  20  20  20  18  17
GFDI............2   3   3   4   5   5   5   6   5   6   6   5
Smoke Dispersal.10  13  38  51  67  66  72  78  80  83  83  61
Smoke Cat.......PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...05
Requested by...RYAN HARR
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508984.0/DMX
.DELDT 04/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ryan_harr@fws.gov