338
FXUS63 KDMX 061119
AFDDMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
619 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

 ...Updated for the 12z Aviation Discussion...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Cool and breezy Monday, warming through the end of the week

- Precipitation chances (30-45%) return Wednesday-Thursday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 236 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

Tranquil conditions across the area early this morning with mostly
clear skies across the area. Clouds do skim into southeast Iowa
associated with light precipitation across Missouri into Illinois.
Clear conditions and light wind has allowed temperatures to dip into
the 20s in cloud free areas so far this morning and
temperatures are expected to drop a few more degrees through
daybreak. Temperatures will warm nicely into the afternoon with
highs in the mid to upper 50s and abundant sunshine. Overnight
tonight a shortwave will drop across the Great Lakes region,
and while precipitation is expected to remain off to the east
and just skim northeast Iowa within the NWS La Crosse area, cold
air advection will sweep the area. This will pull temperatures
down on Monday with highs in the 40s and Monday night-Tuesday
morning lows in the low to mid 20s.

Troughing pulls east on Tuesday with warm air advection increasing
into the area and kicking off a warming trend through the end of the
week and into the upcoming weekend. Meanwhile, low pressure across
the central plains will move into Iowa overnight into Wednesday,
bringing precipitation chances back to the area. Model soundings
continue to indicate dry air in place which will limit any
appreciable precipitation amounts, but spotty showers or sprinkles
are expected. A secondary wave drops across the area into Thursday,
but dry air remains a challenge and rain is expected to be light and
spotty once again. GFS and Euro solutions have begun to
converge, however minor difference in timing and placement of
precipitation still exist. Dry and warmer into the upcoming
weekend with extended models indicating a building thermal ridge
shifting into the area.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 619 AM CDT Sun Apr 6 2025

VFR conditions will prevail through the TAF period. Southern
sites KDSM/KOTM begin with north winds, becoming westerly into
the afternoon across all sites.

&&

.DMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hagenhoff
AVIATION...Hagenhoff