416
FNUS73 KDLH 162020
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Munger Shaw Fire...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
320 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on May 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

The rest of today will see cloudy conditions continue with on and
off light rain showers and sprinkles. Any additional
precipitation is expected to be fairly light. Southerly winds
continue, getting lighter through this evening. Winds will switch
to come out of the northwest overnight into Saturday morning,
strengthening into the afternoon when sustained winds of 6 to 10
mph and gusts up to 25 mph are possible. Precipitation chances
diminish overnight tonight, but there may be a resurgence of some
scattered showers Saturday afternoon. Only light accumulations are
expected, and no thunderstorms are forecast. With lingering areas
of precipitation moisture is expected to remain fairly high
Saturday, with a minimum RH of 50-60%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 7 to 9 mph with gusts to around 19
                    mph.
Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (34700 knot-ft).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CDY MC
Weather cov.....LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).70  60
Temp............49  50
RH..............79  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   7
20 FT wind gust.19  18
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.3
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.18  17
SDspl kt-ft/100036  35

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the evening, then slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Chance of rain showers
                    after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming northwest 5 to 7
                    mph overnight.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph shifting to the west around 3
                    mph late in the evening, then shifting to the
                    northwest 5 to 13 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight increasing to around 16 mph early in
                    the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (6000-25500 knot-ft) decreasing to
                    poor (3500-11800 knot-ft) in the late evening
                    and overnight.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).50     40     50     40     20     40
Temp............50     48     46     46     46     45
RH..............78     83     85     90     89     86
20 ft wind......S 5    S 2    N 2    NW 2   NW 4   NW 5
20 ft wind gust.14     7      5      8      12     14
Mix hgt (ft)....2100   1200   1100   1000   1000   800
Transport wind..S 14   SW 6   NW 5   NW 8   NW 12  NW 13
SDspl kt-ft/100026     6      4      7      10     9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Slight
                    chance of rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 51.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 17 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (15400-34100 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good (37300-47900 knot-ft) in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY     MCLDY     CLOUDY    MCLDY
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        10        10        10
Temp............44        45        47        49
RH..............85        81        71        61
20 FT wind......NW 8G19   NW 10G21  NW 11G22  NW 11G22
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      1700      2200      2500
Transport wind..NW 17     NW 23     NW 23     N 22
SDspl kt-ft/100015        34        43        48

$$
Forecaster...Ketzel
Requested by...Mark Henrichs
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2513945.4/DLH
.DELDT 05/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nws.duluth@noaa.gov,7306@slcrs.org,7319@slcrs.org,7102@slcrs.org,linda.engebretson@noaa.gov,7320@slcrs.org,7337@slcrs.org,mark_henrichs@firenet.gov,brinkmanj@stlouiscountymn.gov,7329@slcrs.org,7268@slcrs.org,7350@slcrs.org,sarah.e.mattson@state.mn.us,7280@slcrs.org,7142@slcrs.org,JayeA@stlouiscountymn.gov,7310@slcrs.org,7296@slcrs.org,7101@slcrs.org,7365@slcrs.org,7111@slcrs.org,7357@slcrs.org