593
FNUS73 KDLH 032326
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Frisk Unit 16...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
526 PM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CST on December 04.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Clouds will increase during the day. Overnight snow showers and
flurries should taper off as winds back westerly then
southwesterly aloft. Winds at the ground level will start from the
west and back southwest by late morning. Wind speeds will start
out around 3-5 mph and will increase to 8-12 mph during the
afternoon with gusts of 20-25 mph. Smoke dispersal will start out
poor to fair with transport winds from the west. By afternoon
smoke dispersal will improve to fair to good with southwest
transport winds. Temps will be cold in the morning, around -5 and
will gradually warm up to around 17 degrees. Light snow will begin
to move into the burn area during the late afternoon and evening
as a clipper system approaches.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of snow late in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 17.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 10 mph with gusts to around 28 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 20
                    to 23 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1900-18800 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair to good (26800-35300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  CDY
Weather cov.....                                    CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....                                    SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  30  30  30
Temp............-7  -6  -4  2   6   10  11  12  13  14  14  15
RH..............95  86  86  68  62  55  58  60  61  64  67  67
20 FT wind dir..NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..5   5   4   4   5   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  14  13  13  14  16  19  20  22  23  25  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.6
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  10  9   8   13  16  20  21  23  23  22  22
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   3   4   11  19  27  30  35  35  31  31

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Snow in the
                    evening, then slight chance of snow overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 7 above.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph shifting to the west after 3 am.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 24 mph shifting to the west 10
                    to 13 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (20600-38700 knot-ft) decreasing
                    to poor to fair (2300-16400 knot-ft) late in
                    the evening.
Pcpn amount.........0.09 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).80  80  80  80  80  80  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............14  13  11  10  10  10  11  11  12  12  12  11
RH..............73  76  83  87  87  87  87  87  87  87  87  87
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  10  10  9   8   7   6   6   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.30  29  28  26  25  23  22  20  19  16  15  14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.22  24  24  23  18  16  15  13  12  10  10  12
SDspl kt-ft/100021  39  39  34  22  16  13  8   5   3   2   3

$$
Forecaster...Kevin
Requested by...Aaron Badillo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526988.0/DLH
.DELDT 12/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL aaron.badillo@usda.gov