042
FNUS73 KDLH 281856
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Camp 8 Rx...Fond du Lac Forestry
National Weather Service Duluth MN
156 PM CDT Sat Sep 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1326 CDT on September 28.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Sunny and warm conditions continue for today with north winds in
the 2 to 7 mph range, including gusts. High temperatures are
overperforming a little today, which is also causing RH values to
sink lower as well. Saginaw RAWS temperature is up to 81 as of 1
pm, with an RH of 34 percent. Temperatures may rise another couple
degrees, with RH values dropping another few percent, so we have
dipped the min RH to 27%. However, considering the site, worst
case scenario for minimum RH this afternoon is 24%, with a high
temperature approaching 85, between 2 and 3 pm. Mixing should be
near it`s deepest extent between 2 and 3 pm this afternoon, after
which we should see a typical cooling, moisturizing and decrease
in mixing height and smoke dispersal.

A very weak, dry cold front moves through the area this evening.
Clear skies are expected tonight with low temperature around 51
degrees. Winds will be light. Overnight recovery to a max humidity
of 83 percent is forecast. Sunny and dry again Sunday, but after
the cold front, high temperature cool to around 74 degrees. Winds
start light and then turn east at 5 to 8 mph and gusts of 12 to 15
mph with an afternoon humidity dropping to around 40 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (10000-15700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1
Temp............81  83  81  80
RH..............28  26  27  29
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 2.6 2.6 2.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.5   6   7   8
Haines index....5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100010   13  16  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 12 mph shifting to the east
                    around 13 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............78  71  66  63  62  60  59  57  56  55  54  54
RH..............32  44  54  60  62  60  62  75  77  77  80  80
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   6   5   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   8   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   8   9   9   9   9   12  13  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10004   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   4

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (4600-22500 knot-ft) increasing to
                    fair (14300-26800 knot-ft) in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............53  52  55  58  64  67  70  72  72  73  72  70
RH..............83  89  83  80  67  59  53  49  49  48  49  53
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   11  11  13  14  14  14  14  14  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  15  17  17  17  16  15  15  15  15
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   6   10  18  23  26  27  25  23  21  14

$$
Forecaster...Linda
Requested by...Paul priestley
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423173.1/DLH
.DELDT 09/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL paulpriestley@fdlband.org