002
FNUS73 KDLH 170052
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Exercise Midway...SLCRS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
752 PM CDT Thu Oct 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2000 CDT on October 16.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Southerly flow will continue across the region as we remain in a
warm air advection regime. Scattered rain showers are expected to
persist with radar indicating the next round of showers
approaching the forecast site within the next hour or two. While
current satellite and radar trends don`t support lightning there
is still a chance that some embedded thunderstorms develop before
midnight. Rain chances will start to taper off tomorrow morning.
Expect winds to increase out of the southwest tomorrow afternoon.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...11 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the evening then 20 mph after 3 am.
Ceiling (kft).......1.2 decreasing to 0.9 late in the evening, then
                    decreasing to 0.8 late in the evening
                    increasing to 0.9 overnight increasing to 1.1
                    increasing to 1.9 after 3 am increasing to 2.7.
Visibility (sm).....9 decreasing to 7 in the late evening and
                    overnight, then increasing to 9 after 3 am.

TIME (CDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  CDY CDY CDY CDY MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  30
Chc of thdr (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Temp............56  55  54  55  55  56  53  56  56  55
RH..............90  93  96  93  96  93  100 90  96  96
Surface wnd dir.SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Surface wnd spd.9   9   9   9   9   8   9   9   9   10
Surface wnd gst.20  18  18  18  18  18  18  20  20  20
Ceiling (kft)...1.3 1.2 0.9 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.9 1.9 2.7
Visibility (sm).9   7   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning, then slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    around 13 mph late in the afternoon. Gusts up
                    to 26 mph.
Ceiling (kft).......4.0 increasing to 5.5 early in the morning,
                    then decreasing to 4.3 early in the morning
                    decreasing to 3.2 late in the morning
                    increasing to 4.4 decreasing to 2.6 late in the
                    morning increasing to 3.3 increasing to 9.1
                    late in the afternoon decreasing to 7.0
                    increasing to 8.0 late in the afternoon.
Visibility (sm).....9.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  40  30  30  20  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............56  57  57  58  61  61  62  64  65  65  66  65
RH..............90  90  93  93  90  93  84  78  73  73  65  63
Surface wnd dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.10  10  10  10  11  12  12  12  13  13  13  13
Surface wnd gst.20  20  20  21  22  23  24  25  25  26  26  25
Ceiling (kft)...4.0 5.5 4.3 3.2 4.4 2.8 2.6 3.3 4.2 9.1 7.0 8.0
Visibility (sm).10  9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10

$$
Forecaster...Lee
Requested by...Justin Leblanc
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2523791.0/DLH
.DELDT 10/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nwsduluth-slcrs@noaa.gov,7101@slcrs.org