232
FNUS73 KDLH 131521
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for NineMile Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
921 AM CST Wed Nov 13 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CST on November 14.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Rain chances will decrease early Thursday morning, before 6 AM.
Rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch are expected
overnight. Partly sunny to mostly cloudy skies are forecast
although there may be a few breaks in the clouds. High temperature
will be around 45 degrees and minimum humidity will be in the
mid-70 percent range. Northeast winds are forecast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal will be poor to fair with smoke moving toward the
southwest.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 45.
Min humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    becoming light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3900-13200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  0   0   10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  39  41  42  44  45  45  44  41  38
RH..............96  96  89  86  79  76  76  79  86  89
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.11  11  11  12  12  11  11  9   9   8
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.3 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.2 0.8
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   9   9   8   7   7   6   6   6
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10004   5   10  12  13  11  9   7   6   4

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 34.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 6 mph shifting to the west 3 to 5 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............41  40  39  38  38  38  38  38  37  37  37  37
RH..............89  89  89  92  96  96  100 100 100 100 96  96
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   6   5   5   5   3   3   3   5   5   5   3
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10003   3   3   3   2   2   1   2   2   3   2   2

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 46.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then becoming light late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 3 to 8 mph shifting to the south
                    around 6 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (1300-15200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............37  38  39  41  42  44  45  46  46  46  44  41
RH..............96  96  96  93  89  79  76  73  73  73  79  86
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   3   3
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   9   11  11  11  9   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.7
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10001   2   4   6   9   12  15  13  11  9   6   4

$$
Forecaster...Kevin
Requested by...Zach Kellerman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2426477.0/DLH
.DELDT 11/13/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.kellerman@usda.gov