Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN

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844
FNUS73 KDLH 061232
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Grant-Hope Lakes...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
732 AM CDT Sun Oct 6 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on October 06.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Today will be much cooler and breezy with winds northwest from 12
to 16 mph gusting around 30 mph. A few gusts of 35 to 40 mph will
be possible but won`t be as frequent. There will be plenty of
clouds to start the day with them decreasing later this afternoon
into the evening. Expect a minimum humidity of 50 to 55 percent.

High pressure will build in tonight and it will be a cold night
with lows around freezing.

More sunshine will occur Monday west to northwest winds gusting to
15 to 20 mph. The humidity will also be lower and closer to 40 to
45 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 52.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 15 mph with gusts to
                    around 30 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 26 to 33 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (39900 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (84500-123400 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM      5 PM
Sky cover.......CLOUDY    CLOUDY    MCLDY     PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............48        46        50        51
RH..............71        68        58        54
20 FT wind......W 12G23   W 15G30   NW 13G30  NW 11G23
Mix hgt (ft)....1700      3500      4100      3700
Transport wind..NW 26     NW 32     NW 32     NW 26
Haines index....2         2         4         4
SDspl kt-ft/100040        98        116       85

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 32.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph with gusts to around
                    21 mph in the evening becoming light.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3300-19700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....                                        WID WID
Weather type....                                        FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............49  47  45  42  41  40  38  38  35  35  34  33
RH..............54  56  58  62  62  62  62  59  66  64  69  69
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   6   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.21  18  15  14  14  14  14  14  13  12  11  9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.17  14  12  13  14  14  12  12  12  12  10  9
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100020  7   4   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   3

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Widespread frost
                    early in the morning, then areas of frost early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 8 mph with gusts
                    to around 19 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 18 mph shifting to the northwest 16
                    to 21 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3300-22400 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (49300-88800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC
Weather cov.....WID WID ARS
Weather type....FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............33  34  35  42  47  52  55  58  60  61  61  59
RH..............72  72  75  65  58  52  49  45  44  42  42  45
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   4   5   6   6   7   8   8   8   7   6
20 FT wind gust.9   9   11  13  15  16  18  19  19  19  18  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.2 4.9 3.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.9   10  12  12  14  16  17  18  20  21  21  16
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   5   7   13  22  33  44  61  78  89  49

$$
Forecaster...Dean M
Requested by...Joanie Lawrence
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2423428.4/DLH
.DELDT 10/06/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joan.lawrence@usda.gov