695
FNUS73 KDLH 041828
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Fry Pile RX...USFS
National Weather Service Duluth MN
1228 PM CST Wed Dec 4 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CST on December 05.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM CST THURSDAY...

.DISCUSSION...

Strong northwest winds with gusts up to 25 mph continue into
Thursday morning before weakening through midday and the
afternoon. Some light flurries are possible in the morning but
largely no precipitation is expected.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 14.
Min humidity........70 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 14 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (11300-21900 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............8   9   9   10  12  12  13  13  13  12  10
RH..............83  80  80  76  70  73  70  70  70  73  80
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..10  10  9   9   8   8   7   7   6   5   4
20 FT wind gust.23  21  20  19  18  16  15  14  14  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.3 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
Transp wind spd.20  18  17  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  14
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/100022  20  18  18  19  20  20  20  20  16  11

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 4 above.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light, then becoming west 5 to
                    6 mph overnight.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300-10000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
RH..............85  89  87  89  90  90  90  91  91  90  88  86
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   5
20 FT wind gust.13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.13  12  10  10  10  12  12  12  12  12  10  10
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SDspl kt-ft/10007   6   5   5   4   5   6   7   9   10  9   9

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 18.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 6 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5200-14800 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............8   8   9   10  12  14  16  17  18  18  17  16
RH..............83  82  83  80  77  70  68  68  69  71  74  77
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  12  12  11
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.0 1.8 1.4 0.9
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7   7
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10008   8   8   8   10  13  14  15  12  11  8   5

$$
Forecaster...Ketzel
Requested by...Zach Kellerman
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427834.0/DLH
.DELDT 12/04/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL zachary.kellerman@usda.gov