561
FXUS63 KDLH 092332
AFDDLH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Duluth MN
532 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Light rain spreads across the area tonight, with one to two
  tenths of an inch of rain expected through Sunday morning.

- Another round of light precipitation is expected Wednesday and
  Wednesday night, with less than one quarter of an inch of
  rainfall.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 348 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

An upper low is rotating slowly across the Plains today, with a
surface low currently over Nebraska. The system will continue
slowly northeastward tonight, spreading light rain across the
Northland through much of Sunday. As a surface low shifts across
the Great Lakes, a quick moving shortwave and cold front will
arrive from the northwest Sunday night. Limited moisture will
keep any rainfall confined to the Canadian border Sunday
evening.

A tightened pressure gradient as high pressure builds across the
northern Plains will make for windy conditions Monday, with
gusts up to 35-40mph in the Arrowhead. Temperatures will also be
closer to normal for mid November with highs in the upper 30s to
mid 40s. Conditions moderate Tuesday as the surface ridge moves
to the east and southerly winds return. Highs Tuesday will be
back into 40s areawide. Another shortwave will rotate out of
the Plains Wednesday, bringing a chance of light rain and less
than an half inch of rainfall to the Northland.

High pressure builds across the much of the eastern CONUS for
the end of the week, with broad upper level ridging extending as
far north as the Great Lakes. Model variability increases beyond
Thursday, but could see another quick hitting system and
rainfall next weekend.

04

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/...
Issued at 532 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

An extended period of degraded flight conditions are expected
through the forecast period. A vertically stacked low moving across
the Midwest is bringing scattered showers to the Northland. Ceilings
will continue to descend through the evening with the potential for
some widespread fog to develop overnight. Tomorrow will see a
mixture of reduced visibilities due to fog and intermittent rain.
Conditions will be slow to improve as we head into the afternoon
hours.

&&

.MARINE /FOR NEAR SHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/...
Issued at 348 PM CST Sat Nov 9 2024

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect through 6pm this
evening for Grand Portage to Grand Marais MN, and expect winds
and wave heights to diminish quickly over the next couple hours.

Monday, with elevated northwesterly winds, chances increase
for small craft hazardous conditions behind an exiting cold
front, and Small Craft Advisories will likely be needed as winds
gust up to 35kts and wave heights reach 4-6ft near the Apostle
Islands.

For the open water discussion, refer to the NWS Marquette Area
Forecast Discussion at weather.gov/mqt.

&&

.DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for LSZ140.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HA
AVIATION...Britt
MARINE...HA