092
ACUS48 KWNS 070956
SWOD48
SPC AC 070955

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0355 AM CST Thu Nov 07 2024

Valid 101200Z - 151200Z

...DISCUSSION...
...D6-7/Tuesday-Wednesday...
Guidance consensus still indicates that an amplified upper trough
should progress into the West early next week, with this feature
reaching the central states mid-week. 00Z ensemble spread remains
large with multiple facets of the trough evolution and associated
cyclogenesis over the central states/southern Prairie Provinces. In
addition, the breadth of rich western Gulf moisture being drawn
north is uncertain. It will likely be dependent on the degree of
preceding surface ridging into the northern Gulf. The deterministic
ECMWF does appear bullish on a potential severe threat in parts of
the south-central states. This will be monitored for greater
predictability in later outlooks.

..Grams.. 11/07/2024