221
ACUS48 KWNS 060835
SWOD48
SPC AC 060833

Day 4-8 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0333 AM CDT Sun Oct 06 2024

Valid 091200Z - 141200Z

...DISCUSSION...
The National Hurricane Center is forecasting Tropical Cyclone Milton
to move across the Florida Peninsula on Wednesday/Day 4. A tornado
threat, associated with Milton, will likely affect parts of the
Florida Peninsula throughout much of the day, and possibly into the
night period. The magnitude of Milton as it crosses the Florida
Peninsula, and any associated severe threat, is highly uncertain at
this time. It seems probable that Milton will be in the western
Atlantic by Thursday morning, which would push the tornado threat
away from the Florida Peninsula. From Friday to Sunday, a
quasi-stationary front is forecast to remain in the vicinity of the
Gulf Coast, with the moist airmass to the south of the front
forecast to remain mostly offshore across the Gulf of Mexico.
Although some thunderstorms could occur over parts of the Florida
Peninsula from Thursday to Sunday, instability is forecast to be too
week for a severe threat.

..Broyles.. 10/06/2024