350
FNUS28 KWNS 162139
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0437 PM CDT Wed Apr 16 2025

Valid 181200Z - 241200Z

A long-wave upper-level trough will translate northeastward from the
Intermountain West into the Great Lakes region through the weekend.
An attendant cold front will also progress south and eastward
through early next week providing widespread wetting rains from
eastern Texas into the Midwest mitigating fire weather concerns for
a large portion of the central U.S. However, fire weather concerns
will persist on the southern periphery of the upper-trough where
stronger mid-level winds and persistent dry fuels remain over
portions of New Mexico and far western Texas on day 3/Friday.
Confidence remains high for a 70 percent chance of Critical fire
weather conditions across this area. A cooler and more moist,
post-frontal air mass infiltrates into much of New Mexico on Day
4/Saturday, limiting fire weather threat to the Big Bend area of
Texas where a 40 percent chance of Critical fire weather conditions
was introduced. Forecast confidence in noteworthy fire weather
threat areas decreases early next week as a more zonal flow pattern
sets up across the U.S. Dry and breezy conditions could return to
portions of the Southwest by the end of the week (Day 8) with
another possible upper-trough moving into the Western U.S. providing
a dry, southwesterly flow regime.

..Williams/Moore.. 04/16/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$