433
FNUS28 KWNS 292016
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0314 PM CDT Sun Sep 29 2024

Valid 011200Z - 071200Z

Fire weather concerns may persist through the early parts of the
upcoming work week across parts of the Rockies and High Plains, but
confidence in robust fire weather concerns abates heading into the
later parts of the week. Long-range guidance shows reasonably good
agreement in a gradually building upper ridge over the central CONUS
through the next 7 days. This will maintain relatively dry
conditions across the central Rockies and Plains where fuels are
fairly dry. This upper-air regime will also favor surface low
development primarily across the Canadian Prairies with occasional
cold frontal intrusions into the Plains. Fire weather concerns will
likely emerge as winds increase with each of these dry frontal
passages.

...D3/Tuesday - High Plains and southern Wyoming...
Breezy pressure gradient winds are anticipated along the central to
northern High Plains D3/Tuesday afternoon amid weak troughing in the
lee of the Canadian Rockies juxtaposed with a strong surface high
over the central Great Plains. Winds generally in the 15-20 mph
range appear most likely per recent ensemble solutions, but some
locations may see winds up to 20-25 mph. Dry conditions will persist
from this weekend into early next week with 15-25% RH expected by
peak heating. Consequently, elevated to locally critical fire
weather conditions appear possible. Fire weather concerns may emerge
across the Wyoming Basin as well within a westerly downslope flow
regime; however, stronger mid-level flow is expected to be displaced
to the north which limits confidence in a robust/sustained fire
weather threat.

..Moore.. 09/29/2024

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$