024
FNUS28 KWNS 112132
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0430 PM CDT Sat Oct 11 2025

Valid 131200Z - 191200Z

Upper-level troughing will continue over the West with an upper low
sliding south along the West Coast Day 3/Monday - Day 4/Tuesday. As
the upper-level trough shifts eastward, downslope flow and
subsequent lee troughing will develop along/east of the Rockies
likely beginning on Day 5/Wednesday and persisting into late in the
week. A cold front is forecast to sweep south/east across the Plains
Day 7/Friday into the weekend as well. After an upper low moves out
of the Mid-Atlantic and off the East Coast Day 3/Monday, a cold
front is expected to push south/east through the eastern/southern US
on Day 4/Tuesday - Day 5/Wednesday as an upper-level trough moves
into the Great Lakes and Northeast.

...Central/southern High Plains...
Enhanced downslope flow along the Front Range will help increase
surface winds/temperatures and lower RH on Day 5/Wednesday and
possibly into Day 6/Thursday ahead of an approaching cold front.
Locally elevated fire weather conditions are likely, but
probabilities of critical winds/RH remain below 40%.

Drier return flow may yield locally critical conditions in portions
of central/west Texas mid/late this week. Downslope flow is expected
to overspread more of the southern Rockies and southern High Plains
along with a tightening pressure gradient ahead of an approaching
cold front on Day 7/Friday. This will likely increase west-southwest
winds and lower RH to near critical thresholds on Day 7/Friday for
portions of west Texas. However, too much forecast uncertainty
exists regarding the overlap of critical winds/RH and receptive
fuels to introduce probabilities at this time.

...Central/southern Appalachians into Deep South...
An area generally from central Alabama through northern Georgia, the
western Carolinas, eastern Tennessee, and the Virginia Panhandle has
been dry recently and is forecast to receive little to no
precipitation in the next seven days. This combined with an
impending dry post-frontal airmass by mid-week and potential for
breezy/gusty north-northwest winds could yield areas of locally
elevated fire weather conditions. Additionally, daily low values of
RH and lack of recent/forecast rain will continue to dry out
portions of the Deep South/Gulf Coast from Louisiana to
Georgia/Florida Panhandle.

..Nauslar.. 10/11/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$