316
FNUS28 KWNS 262153
FWDD38

Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0452 PM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

Valid 281200Z - 041200Z

An upper-level trough will slowly translate eastward from the
Southwest U.S. on Day 3/Monday into the Southern Plains Day
5/Wednesday. Stronger mid-level winds ahead of the trough along with
downslope enhancement/drying off the higher terrain of the Northern
Mexican Plateau is expected to linger over portions of Western Texas
and southeastern New Mexico from Day 3/Monday, potentially into Day
5/Wednesday. 40 percent Critical probabilities were maintained for
Day 3/Monday and added for Day 4/Tuesday for this area. Critical
probabilities were not introduced for Day 5/Wednesday as timing and
southern extent of  cold front intrusion into eastern New Mexico and
far Western Texas remains uncertain. Ensemble model guidance shows
fairly good member agreement in bringing another long-wave trough
into the Western U.S. by Days 6-8, which could bring some needed
precipitation to portions of the Desert Southwest.

...Far Northern Plains...
Fire weather threat could emerge across portions of eastern Montana
and western North Dakota by Days 5-8/Wednesday-Saturday. An
upper-level ridge building over the western U.S. interior late next
week should bring well above normal temperatures to much of the
northern Rockies and adjacent High Plains, aiding in curing/drying
fuels. However, upper and mid-level pattern does not appear
conducive for strong downsloping events at this time and contingent
on areas escaping appreciable rainfall in the short term.

...Florida Peninsula...
A very dry fuelscape across the Florida Peninsula is expected to
receive some relief by Day 3/Monday as a cold front and accompanying
rainfall impact the state. Some areas could remain dry but winds and
relative humidity are not expected to align for critical fire
weather conditions by midweek (Days 4-6/Tuesday-Thursday) with more
opportunities for precipitation late week.

..Williams.. 04/26/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$