Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
085 FNUS28 KWNS 272135 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0333 PM CST Thu Nov 27 2025 Valid 291200Z - 051200Z An upper-level trough will move out of the Rockies and into the Midwest/Great Lakes while strengthening this weekend. Another upper-level trough will likely track southeast over the Intermountain West Day 4/Sunday into Day 5/Monday, with deeper/broader troughing likely to develop over the central/eastern US Day 5/Monday - Day 7/Wednesday. A deep upper-level trough may track south-southeast over the West Coast/Intermountain West late in the period. Dry return flow is likely across portions of South Carolina, Georgia and Alabama into Tennessee Day 3/Saturday, but the winds do not appear strong enough and overlap low enough RH and receptive fuels to warrant probabilities. Another round of widespread rainfall is likely for the Southeast starting late Day 3/Saturday and continuing into mid-week. However, portions of southern Georgia into Florida may receive little appreciable rainfall with fuels likely remaining receptive, especially when coupled with elevated/critical winds/RH. Dry/breezy conditions are likely across portions of southeast New Mexico Day 3/Saturday ahead of an approaching cold front. Given the recent cool weather and rainfall and likely locally elevated winds/RH, no probabilities were included. Another round of dry/breezy conditions are possible for portions of the southern High Plains early to mid-next week. Offshore/downslope winds are likely to develop late Day 4/Sunday into Day 6/Tuesday across portions of California, especially southern California. However, fuels are not very receptive given the recent precipitation across the state. ..Nauslar.. 11/27/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$