370
FNUS71 KCTP 281450
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for MCWMA rx fire...Pa game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
1050 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EDT on June 28.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
Mostly sunny to partly cloudy today with light winds from the
southeast and RH dropping into the mid 30s this afternoon.

Clouds will increase tonight. Warmer temperatures combined with
increasing dewpoints will fuel showers and Tstms through the
weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 80.
Min Humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    south in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......5000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....East around 5-10 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................17 to 34.

TIME (EDT)          11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  39  38  37  35  36  37  39
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  72  74  76  78  79  80  80
RH................  46  43  40  37  38  36  36
20 FT Wind Dir....  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   8   8   8   10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.3 4.0 4.3 4.3 4.7 5.0 4.6
Transp Wind Dir...  E   E   SE  S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  7   7   7   7   9   10  12
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   1   1
ADI...............  17  20  20  20  34  34  34
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 65.
Max Humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 to 20.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  40  41  31  28  28  36  43  62  88  90  100 100
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  79  78  75  73  71  69  68  68  67  67  67  67
RH................  42  47  55  59  63  68  73  73  78  81  81  84
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   SE  S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT Wind Spd....  7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT Wind Gust...  12  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  13  13  13  13
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.5 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  14  15  15  15  15  15  14  13  12  12  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4
ADI...............  20  20  20  13  13  13  12  12  12  10  10  10
Haines Index......  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Tyler Hudock
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416874.0/CTP
.DELDT 06/28/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyhudock@pa.gov