193
FNUS71 KCTP 091437
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 084 Crissinger farm...PA GAME COMMISSION
National Weather Service State College PA
1037 AM EDT Sun Mar 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on March 10.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Min RH values in the burn area will be around 40 percent on
Monday, and likely decrease to the mid 30s on Tuesday.

The wind will be lighter on Monday than Tuesday. On Tuesday, the
threat for dangerous/rapid wildfire spread will increase as wind
gusts increase to around 20 MPH.


.MONDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
Min Humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph late in
                    the afternoon, then becoming light late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 13 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 to 27.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  20  20  21  19  18  16  15  14  13  12  12  12
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  35  36  36  40  44  49  51  54  57  58  59  59
RH................  78  75  75  69  64  57  54  49  45  43  41  40
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  6   6   5   8   10  10  11  11  11  11  11  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.6 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.7 3.1 3.7 4.0 4.3 4.6
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  13  10  9   9   12  10  12  10  9   9   9   9
LVORI.............  4   4   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI...............  10  10  10  27  27  27  26  26  26  27  27  27

.MONDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....Around 37.
Max Humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 6 to 8 mph increasing to 8 to 9 mph in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  12  13  13  12  12  11  11  11  11  12  12  14
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  57  55  53  50  48  45  44  42  41  40  40  39
RH................  43  47  50  56  60  67  69  75  77  80  79  82
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   7   6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5
Mix Hgt (kft).....  3.2 1.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  8   7   6   7   8   9   9   8   8   8   8   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI...............  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 67.
Min Humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 6 to 10 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph in the late morning and
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 8 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest 18
                    to 24 mph in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................6 early in the morning increasing to 68 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  14  14  15  15  9   15  15  16  16  16  17
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  39  39  39  44  49  54  57  60  62  63  65  66
RH................  81  81  80  69  60  52  48  43  41  40  38  37
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  1   1   2   3   6   7   8   9   10  10  10  9
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   5   6   7   13  16  18  19  20  20  20  19
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.7 2.5 3.4 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  8   8   8   10  14  16  18  22  24  24  23  23
LVORI.............  4   4   4   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  6   6   6   28  28  28  68  68  68  67  67  67

$$
Forecaster...Dangelo
Requested by...Jim Roberts
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2505140.0/CTP
.DELDT 03/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jamesrober@pa.gov