Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
183 FXUS64 KCRP 171118 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX Issued by National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX 618 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 613 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 - Moderate Heat Risk through early this week - Moderate rain chances late this week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 The mid level trough that has been hanging over the coast the past couple of days will fill a bit but more importantly drift eastward out over the water as the ridge west of the area strengthens. This will help our weather to be quieter the next couple of days with slightly drier air filtering in above the surface. Temperatures the next several days will be similar to normal from the low to mid 90s east to a bit above 10 west. Most of the area will experience a low to moderate heat risk over the next couple of days, but there is a small region west where temperatures could be high enough to have an elevated concern, that said...expect it to be isolated enough to keep away the need for a heat advisory. We`ve been watching a tropical wave progged to move into the western Gulf late this week, and the latest guidance would indicate much of the deepest moisture remaining south of the area. This has led to a decrease in rain chances, though will still hold on to low to moderate chances at this time, and it`s entirely possible things change again and the ridging doesn`t hold this wave south, but time will tell. Temperature forecasts are a bit warmer though the end of the week and into the weekend than they were, but still near to slightly below normal. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 613 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 Patchy fog has developed across portions of the Brush Country, with visibility observations dropping to below 1SM at times. This is thanks to light and variable winds. Fog begins burning up through the mid-morning. Conditions will remain mostly VFR this afternoon with a wind shift expected in the Brush Country from S`ly to SE`ly generally at 15-20 kts gusting as high as 30 kts. Tonight, winds begin to subside, while remaining mostly VFR. By Wednesday morning/sunrise, any location that drops below 10 kt winds may briefly experience patchy fog, reducing flight categories to MVFR/IFR. && .MARINE... Issued at 1230 AM CDT Tue Jun 17 2025 South-southeasterly moderate to fresh breeze (BF 4-5) will persist into next week, with a few periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions, particularly Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect mainly dry conditions through Wednesday but then the remainder of the period features moderate chances for showers and thunderstorms across the waters. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 94 79 94 79 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 92 76 91 76 / 0 0 0 0 Laredo 102 78 103 78 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 97 76 97 76 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 92 82 91 81 / 10 0 0 10 Cotulla 103 78 103 79 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 96 78 95 78 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 91 81 91 81 / 10 0 0 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...AE/82